In recent days, questions have arisen about the likelihood of the United States taking action to occupy islands like Khark or even border areas such as Abadan, once again coming to the forefront of public thought and media audiences.
Speculations and Realities
These speculations have mainly emerged following some statements by Donald Trump and their reflection in the media space. However, a closer examination of developments and analyses published in reputable international media shows that such a scenario, at least under current conditions, is far from practical reality.
Many analytical institutions have emphasized that any direct ground military action against Iran, especially in the form of territorial occupation, requires a complex, costly, and multi-layered operation that cannot be reduced to a limited and short-term action.
The experience of previous U.S. wars in the Middle East has also shown that even limited interventions can quickly turn into protracted and costly conflicts.
Risky Tensions
Military analysts also emphasize that any direct ground conflict with Iran would carry the risk of rapidly escalating tensions at the regional level. Therefore, although the proposal of such scenarios is observable in some political and media circles, the body of field evidence and credible analyses indicates that the likelihood of its realization as an immediate military plan is very low.
As a result, it can be said that the scenario of occupying Iranian islands or border areas is more interpretable within the framework of psychological warfare and political pressure than as an operational option.
